Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic These are general election results for the years listed. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. [7] The parties themselves had no official colors, with candidates variously using either or both of the national color palette of red and blue (white being unsuitable for printed materials). The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. The. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Like around the country, we're seeing. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Not one! Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Tap or hover to see names. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. Press Enter to view state-level map. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. As of February 2023, California had the most mass shootings in the United States, with 25 total shootings since 1982. But. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. It is not a red state. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Dec. 10, 2020. If you would like to change your settings or withdraw consent at any time, the link to do so is in our privacy policy accessible from our home page.. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Which ones are more politically competitive? A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Is Wisconsin a red state? But I've got news for them, too. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . All three of those states were very close in both elections. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. . [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. [47][48][49] A different poll that same year grouped the United States into five geographic regions, and found that 37% of Americans favored secession of their own region. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. We and our partners use cookies to Store and/or access information on a device. But Pennsylvania is now red. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. It is not a red state. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. Vice versa for Montana. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Here's the count: 2020: [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? I think it's the state to watch. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. To win in 2016, Donald Trump broke through some of the 'blue wall' of 242 electoral votes that had voted Democratic in each presidential election since at least 1992. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. What are red and blue states? by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. (PA, GA, MI)". [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. Next is Alabama at No. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. All Rights Reserved. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Red states vs. blue states. [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. But What about Investing in Bonds? Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. #V. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. Explained! Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Both parties have since adopted logos that use their respective colors (a blue "D" for Democrats[56] and a red "GOP" for Republicans). It is not a blue state or a red state. Hi everyone from D.C.! If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. All Rights Reserved. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. 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I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats.