I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. -moz-columns: 3; A 50-50 Senate means control is on the line, and eight seats evenly split between Democrats and Republicans are considered competitive in 2022. . [23], Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General, Republican nominee for Governor in 2018, and Republican nominee for Senator in 2022, could potentially challenge Rosen for her seat. That panels chair, Robert Menendez of New Jersey, said its a long time from here to 2024, but I have every intention of running again. Manchin, Sanders and Tester also all lead committees. Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. Customize your map by changing one or more states. [36], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. Casey has announced his intention to run for a fourth term. After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. An abnormally large number (7) represent states Republican Donald Trump won at least once. The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. [61], Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was re-elected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) said he wont decide on his 2024 plan until the end of this year or early next but is vigorously fundraising, doing everything that a candidate does. Sen. Bernie Sanders [49] [114], Manchin has received cross-party endorsements from fellow senators Susan Collins (R-ME) and Lisa Murkowski (R-AK). Am I undecided? The third-ranking Democrat's departureleaves the GOP with a pickup opportunity in a swing state. Think we're missing something? Democrat Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot LOSES reelection over failed soft-on-crime policies. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. Its not an ideal position for Democrats to be in as they look to stave off Republicans in a state that has only emerged as a battleground over the past few election cycles. (Ohio's @SherrodBrown and Montana's @jontester have already announced they're running. Beyond the battleground map and quadrennial allure of the presidential race, retirements can shake up the structure of the Senate. -moz-columns: 3; Whitehouse is running for a fourth term. One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. Democrats. Class I - Senators Whose Term of Service Expire in 2025. Reportedly, he and former President Donald Trump have had conversations on when Reyes will run, should he choose to. The GOP Senators will be holding a press conference regarding the appealing a Biden Administration regulation that puts the retirement savings of Americans in jeopardy. Democrats up for reelection in 2024: California: Dianne Feinstein (retiring) . [68][69], Former Senator Joe Donnelly is a potential challenger for the Democratic nomination in an effort to win back a seat that he lost in 2018. The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. -webkit-columns: 1; The chart below shows historical partisan breakdown information for the chamber. Copy Code. Gillibrand is running for a third full term. Things arent expected to be much easier for Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in 2024. Hirono is running for a third term. Representative Jim Banks . As of July 29, 2020, there were 21 seats held by Democrats and 10 seats held by Republicans up for election in 2024. Early polls show a tough slog in West Virginia, and the centrist is still seeking to finish the energy permitting bill he pushed for this year. The Democrats held a 58-seat majority going into the election, with the Republicans at 38 seats and the rising Libertarians with 4 seats. And holding the majority this fall in a tough environment could help keep some incumbents happier about running for reelection. Ditto Nevada, where first-term Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) is up for reelection, and the leading GOP candidate is former Attorney General Adam Laxalt, who lost a race for governor in 2018. So I hope to run for re-election" in the Senate, he said. [57], Five-term Democrat Dianne Feinstein was re-elected in 2018 with 54.2% of the vote. arrives for the Senate Democratic Caucus leadership election at the Capitol in Washington, Thursday, Dec. 8, 2022. So, no decision.. He intends to run for a third-term despite previously hinting that he may retire. }, .split-cols-c-list { [31], One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. [Tex. President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term, Jan. 6 hearings to investigate the attack, blocked Schiff from serving on the Intelligence Committee. McCarthy and Cheney, a former member of . She is retiring, and will not run for a fifth term. These progressives are trying to make it happen", "2024 Senate map is a GOP dream. Here are the candidateswho have announced theirSenate plans for 2024: More:Arizona Rep. Ruben Gallego announces Senate bid, set to challenge Sen. Kyrsten Sinema. The 2024 Senate race in Arizona is already shaping up to be a chaotic one: Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) left the Democratic Party last year to become an Independent, and potential Democratic challengers, including Rep. Ruben Gallego (Ariz.), are eyeing her seat. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, indicating the predicted advantage that a party had in winning that seat. [74][75][76], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. .split-cols-c-list { Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, it's bracing for a . Three senators are up for reelection in deep red states. Code 7.104] 2 All State Senate seats are up for election in 2022 following redistricting in 2021. If O'Rourke wins the Democratic nomination, then this would be a rematch of 2018 between him and Cruz. Members shall draw lots to determine who serves which terms. Sisolak. The top 10 Senate seats that are most likely to flip to the other party. [97][98], Republican nominee for Senate in 2022, Mehmet Oz, is considered a potential challenger for the Republican nomination, despite living in New Jersey. columns: 3; [1] California uses a nonpartisan blanket primary, in which all candidates regardless of party affiliation appear on the same primary ballot and the two highest-placing . Yet as the 2024 Senate . Democrat Ty Pinkins is running against Wicker. Braun is retiring to prepare to run for Governor of Indiana instead. Two-term Republican Ted Cruz was re-elected in 2018 with 50.9% of the vote. Email us. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the 33 regular elections on November 5, 2024, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2025. He has also expressed interest in running for president in 2024. Former Governor Larry Hogan (2015-2023), and former Lieutenant Governor (2003-2007), former chair of the Republican National Committee, and Republican nominee for Senate in 2006, Michael Steele, are both also seen as potential candidates, although Hogan is currently weighing a run for President, with a decision expected by Spring 2023. The party has capitalized on appealing to both moderates and liberals in the state in recent years, and theres at least some concern that the presence of both Sinema and a Democrat in the race could divide that vote. Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Katharine Frey Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell Sinema was elected as a Democrat and switched to become an independent in December 2022. Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. [55][56], 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake and 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters are considering running for the Republican nomination. Both Manchin and Tester are also up for reelection next year in states where the GOP dominates. Joe Manchin (D-WV) sidestepped questions about whether he will run for reelection in 2024 amid reports of him privately being undecided on the matter. Sen. Sherrod Brown of Ohio, which Trump won by 8 points, said he still plans to run for reelection in his red-tilting state, a big shot in the arm for Schumer and whoever chairs the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. FILE - Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio, right, speaks with reporters at a rally for Ohio gubernatorial candidate Nan Whaley in Cincinnati, Nov. 3, 2022. Senate Democrats are staring down the risk of their own Great Resignation in 2024. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin on Monday announced her candidacy for a U.S. Senate seat from Michigan, a critical battleground state in the 2024 election. However, she has yet to make an official announcement. Whats more, many Democrats believe that Manchin is perhaps the only Senate candidate who can beat a Republican in West Virginia, and he hasnt yet committed to running for another term. But unlike 2018, when a blue wave helped propel Democrats into the House majority, the party is facing a tougher political landscape in 2024. Democrats had 23 seats up for election, additionally 2 independents who caucused with the Democrats faced the end of their current term. Some members of the House are throwing their names on the ballot for a seat in the upper chamber, while a handful of senators have launched campaigns for reelection. [27], Former Lieutenant Governor of Massachusetts Karyn Polito (2015-2023) is seen as a potential candidate for the Republican nomination. Should he run, Romney has the endorsement of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) survived his last reelection bid in 2018, handing Democrats a key win in a former swing state that has lurched further and further to the right in recent years. On January 20, 2023, Kaine confirmed he is running for reelection to a third term. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. Senate following the election. [95], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has no plans other than to run for reelection.. In addition to Klobuchar, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York said shes really excited to seek another term and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts is running for reelection, according to spokesperson Alex Sarabia. Another battleground-state senator up in 2024, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, could face a primary challenge from Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) as well as a competitive general election. Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. Here are the states where residents will pay the biggest share of their income Trump asks for roughly six-month delay in New York fraud case, Why concerns are rising about drug-resistant Shigella infections, Michael Steele on Marjorie Taylor Greene: Just shut the hell up, Mike Lindell calls DeSantis a Trojan Horse, Excused Murdaugh juror left a dozen eggs in jury room. (AP Photo/Al Goldis, File). -webkit-columns: 3; Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) speaks during a news conference on Sept. 20, 2022, at the Capitol in Washington. Two times as many Democrat incumbents are up for reelection. [23], One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. All 33 Senators Up for Re-election in 2024 Listed by State. Others haveannounced they would not be seeking another term, like California Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein,thelongest serving senator in the state, who announced in February she will be retiring. a tweet accompanied by a video announcing her candidacy. Mandela Barnes. If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) speaks about President Joe Bidens infrastructure agenda near the Brent Spence Bridge, Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023, in Covington, Ky. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky). On May 8, 2021, Warren confirmed that she plans to run for a third term. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) ultimately won reelection, but the race was decided by fewer than 8,000 votes. The National Republican Senatorial Committee announced Thursday that Graham, who won reelection in 2020, will lead an effort to raise funds for the Republican nominees in the 2024 Senate elections in Montana, Ohio and West Virginia. Of the 34 seats up for reelection, Democrats will be defending 23 of them. So the options are wide open,. . Special elections during the preceding Congress. Their best targets appear to be Florida and Texas, but both states have proved elusive for Democrats in recent years. Lime scooters sues Hertz for poaching engineers, Food-borne illness is a public health crisis: Congress must act, Tesla recalls 3,470 Model Y cars with loose bolts, New storm to bring yet more heavy snow to California, Nevada Democrats face brewing civil war ahead of 2024, Trump reigns supreme at a diminished CPAC, Seattle councilmember launches movement toward new workers party, FBI Dir accuses China of obfuscating Covid investigation, Poll finds Ron DeSantis top choice for 2024 GOP nominee, Twitter discloses another possible government censorship effort, Texas property tax bill excludes divorced, LGBTQ couples from getting relief, Judiciary Democrats go after GOP whistleblowers in FBI probes. I am curious which seats do you think are safe and which you think are flippable/vulnerable? 1/2", "U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz confirms he will seek a third term in 2024", "Former Midland councilman announces U.S. Senate run in 2024", "Constitutional Litigator Jonathan Emord Announces U.S. Senate Run", "Joe Manchin gets a GOP challenger for his West Virginia Senate seat", "GOP candidates, voters rally in Weirton", "Sinema switches to independent, shaking up the Senate", "Sinema files campaign papers, but re-election decision unclear", "Key senators torn over retirement decisions as party leaders try to fortify 2024 standing | CNN Politics", "Kyrsten Sinema 'Staggeringly Vulnerable' in 2024 After Filibuster Vote", "Could Sen. Kyrsten Sinema face a primary? Interns wanted: Get paid to help ensure that every voter has unbiased election information. Alex Wong/Getty Images, The real question is, is what do we wake up to on November 9, or 10th? The other swing-state Democratic senators up in 2024 Robert P. Casey Jr. (D-Pa.) and Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) won a little more comfortably in 2018 but will be targets. Mayor of Indianapolis, former Indiana Secretary of State, and former chair of the Indiana Democratic Party, Joe Hogsett is also seen as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination. Biden spoke with Senate Democrats on Thursday after addressing the House caucus a day earlier, touting their achievements and shoring up support ahead of a likely reelection announcement . Sen. Sinema is up for reelection in 2024, and her critics are looking for a primary challenger. On February 14, 2023, Feinstein announced that she will not seek re-election to a sixth term. The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. That makes for a tough cycle and it gets even harder if incumbents choose not to run. Senators in Class I were elected to office in the November 2018 general election, unless they took their seat through appointment or special election. The following races are rated as safe for the incumbent party. ^ Excludes Nebraska seat with a special election in 2024, The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. You can separately choose how to count each independent for purposes of determining majority control. [23], Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. U. S. border security (or at least much better than the disaster now being perpetrated on the American people) can be achieved in 2023 by strong Republican majorities in the U. S. House and Senate elected in the 2022 midterms then pressure applied to the 23 Democrat U. S. senators up for reelection in 2024 to achieve the 60 votes in the Senate needed to override a presidential veto by Joe Biden. Incumbent Sens. And this is not the place for that announcement. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. Blackburn has filed paperwork to run for reelection. Independent Senators Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Angus King (I-Maine) caucus with the Democratic Party. Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow hasalsosaid she would not be running in 2024. | The first and biggest question they have: Will Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin run for reelection? Candidate lists may be incomplete until each state's filing deadline has passed. But the much bigger wheels in the wheeling and dealing, senators Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema, aren't up for reelection in 2022 at all. Jason Thielman, Chief of Staff to Senator Steve Daines (R-MT) says that, "There are no Republicans up for the 2024 election in a blue state. The majority partywill seek to defend their incumbents in key races again Republican rivals as they look to maintain their slim majority in a presidentialelection year where President Joe Biden will likelybe seeking hissecond term. Not only will they be defending more than twice as many Senate seats as Republicans, but theyll likely be on the ballot with President Biden, whose approval rating remains relatively low. Republicans held 49 seats following the elections, while Democrats held 48 seats and independents who caucus with Democrats held two. December Harmon, a member of the Columbia Police Review Board, has also announced a run for the Democratic nomination. In a July 2018 report, Ballotpedia defined wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in the last 100 years resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party. If he decides to retire from the Senate, it would almost certainly take the seat out of play for Democrats. USA TODAY Poll:Democratic support for Biden in 2024 surges after midterms as Trump takes a hit, More:In search of the perfect president: What Americans say they want, from age to gender. Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) said hes putting all the pieces together to seek a third term. "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents," Everett writes in his headline, not mincing words. As the 2022 battle for the Senate winds down, it is worth noting the 2024 Senate map, which gives the Republicans many opportunities to play offense and Democrats hardly any. [37], Two-term Republican Ben Sasse resigned his seat on January 8, 2023, to become President of the University of Florida. State prosecutor Keith Gross is expected to announce a primary challenge against Scott, with U.S. Representative Byron Donalds being seen as another potential candidate for the Republican nomination. West Virginia's @JoeManchinWV hasn't decided yet) 02 Mar 2023 14:30:09 His seat is one of the most vulnerable Democratic seats, as he is one of three Senators to hold a seat in a state that Donald Trump, a Republican, won in both of his elections for President of the United States. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. [3] Representative Elissa Slotkin is running for the Democratic nomination. Tom Williams/AP Photos, I actually like to do those announcements as announcements. I feel great. This section will provide important dates throughout the 2024 congressional election cycle, including filing deadlines, primaries, and campaign finance reporting deadlines, when available. Three keys states in the 2024 cycle that feature Democratic senators up for reelection in states Donald Trump won in 2020. (Greg Nash). Thats something thats very personal for everybody., Stabenow is among the swing-state senators planning on running again in the next presidential year, giving the party a huge boost. (AP Photo/J. 2024 Senate Race. This race's position on the rankings continues to be one of the biggest surprises of the 2022 cycle. Additionally, Kyrsten Sinema's first term is ending in Arizona, a state that Biden won by less than a quarter of a point in 2020; before the end of the 117th Congress, Sinema left the Democratic Party and became an independent, and it is currently unclear whether national Democrats will support her re-election campaign, if she chooses to run, or back a Democrat. When counted with a party, the map will display a striped result. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions. The state of the Senate races. Others were more firm. Ron DeSantis (R) by 15 points among GOP primary voters in a hypothetical 2024 match-up, new polling from Fox News shows. and Ohio (where Rob Portman is up for reelection . Democratic U.S. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. Cruz, Hawley and Rick Scott, whose seats are up in 2024, have chosen to seek re-election rather than roll the dice on a White House run. [106], Former U.S. representative Jason Chaffetz is also seen as a potential primary challenger, and Gabriel Loco-Blanco has filed paperwork to run.[104]. Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.) Senate Democrats are looking at a tough map for 2024. [110] Eleven days later, Jonathan Emord, author and constitutional litigator, announced he is running for the Republican nomination in order to challenge Kaine. But West Virginias conservative political makeup means that even a moderate like Manchin isnt safe. Stabenow announced on Jan. 5, she will not run for reelection in 2024. -webkit-columns: 1; See also Class II Senators (Up for Re-election in 2020) by State. Several senators are waiting to see how the midterms shake out in a month before making any moves, according to interviews and statements from 22 of the 23 sitting Democrats up in 2024. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, it's bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. nearly 6 percentage points in 2012 and more than 10 points in 2018. narrowly eked out a win in 2018, defeating Republican Matt Rosendale by a scant 3.5-point margin. In these general elections, the winners will be elected for the term beginning January 3, 2025. Sen. Robert Casey (D-Pa.) addresses reporters during a press conference on Thursday, December 1, 2022 to discuss the Pregnant Workers Fairness Act. Romney has expressed uncertainty over his political future following his votes to convict Trump on impeachment. And one of their strongest potential recruits, former Gov. In the first post-redistricting election members are divided into two classes; one class shall serve a 2-year term and the other class shall serve a 4-year term. Right now in the Senate, I remain focused on the issues that matter most to Arizonans: getting inflation under control, creating good paying jobs, and addressing our water crisis, not campaign politics., Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) in a statement. But as he nears his 80th birthday, he confronts a decision on whether to run in 2024 that has some Democrats uncomfortable. Every one of my decisions are made basically after talking to family, and some of my close friends who have been advising me over the years. Host Maria Bartiromo asked the senator . No I am all in. A Tuesday report from POLITICO indicates that that potential challenger, Utah Attorney . Sen. Pat Toomey's (R) retirement and President Biden's narrow victory in the Keystone State in 2020 have . When asked about this, it was reported on Twitter that he said, "as a Blue Dog, a moderate Democrat, I will have broad appeal."[100]. Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona have complicated their own re-election fortunes for 2024.. Why it matters: While Democrats have a credible chance to hold onto a narrow Senate majority this year, they're staring at a rough political map in two years, when both of those seats are . ", https://twitter.com/RaymondB916/status/1628079198882394113, https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/02/cruz-texas-2024-republicans-senate-00080629, https://www.dallasnews.com/news/politics/2023/02/21/dallas-democrat-colin-allred-ponders-senate-bid-against-ted-cruz/, "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics", https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2022/12/21/should-mitt-romney-run/, "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge", "Democrats poll Zuckerman and Donovan for governor as Holcombe presses ahead", "Election results 'make room' for new leaders in the Progressive Party", https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/20/politics/tim-kaine-running-reelection/index.html, https://therepublicanstandard.com/featured/constitutional-litigator-jonathan-emord-announces-u-s-senate-run/vsnitsar/2023/01/, "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin", https://www.weirtondailytimes.com/news/local-news/2022/10/gop-candidates-voters-rally-in-weirton/, "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks", https://www.jsonline.com/restricted/?return=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.jsonline.com%2Fstory%2Fnews%2Fpolitics%2F2023%2F02%2F13%2Fwisconsin-republicans-who-could-challenge-sen-tammy-baldwin-in-2024%2F69871895007%2F, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_elections&oldid=1142771437, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from February 2023, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, This page was last edited on 4 March 2023, at 08:08.
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