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This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Is that an African fly or a European one? One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. But Im not mathy. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. June 5. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Which one's bigger? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Thats a pretty good trip. You may think You say that to everyone!. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). So what's the probability of your being born? That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Me neither. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Now things start getting interesting. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Step 3. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Dr. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. But on all probability it would. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Thats 150,000 generations. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Onward to freedom! Are they gross exaggerations? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Step 1. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? An unimaginably long time. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. You can start the series by clicking HERE. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? xx, Lets be social! Step 4. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. How fast does a laden fly fly? In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Are they gross exaggerations? It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell