Tough scene. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Aaron Wise (25-1, FanDuel) While Aaron Wise was a popular breakout candidate pick at the start of the season, its undeniable that he has not gotten off to the start that many were hoping for. He also sits second in GIR rate, especially important when the field is hovering around 60 percent in Palm Beach Gardens. Fading Hideki Matsuyama was also the right move, as the defending champ barely cracked the top 50. Rais results have gotten progressively better the past three weeks, and he was sitting T-5 after one round here last year in his debut. Investing in Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama is a great way to guarantee production, but each player comes with a hefty price tag on both sites. I would expect that to regress massively, especially on Bermudagrass, a surface that has historically been Svenssons worst over the years. Bermuda: Russell Knox. The 28-year-old is one of the best on the planet, but he was 143rd in strokes gained around the green last season, and his putter can be streaky. 7. Munoz is also 14th on tour over the past 100 rounds in Opportunities Gained, a FantasyNational stat that indicates birdie chances. Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) are next in line at Caesars, and all are priced at more than $10,000 by DraftKings. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. The ball-striking has been really good lately, and he can scramble and putt as well as anyone here, which can be clutch given how difficult of a test this can be. He was in the bottom 10-percentile in strokes gained/putting and was 237th of 280 players in SG/around the greens. He is 131st in driving accuracy, and while he ranks seventh in greens in regulation, he is 120th in proximity to the hole. WED UPDATE: WEATHER, FINAL BETS, DRAFTKINGS NOTES, 2023 Pebble Beach Picks & Preview | Info & Research | Stats/Tools, 2023 Pebble Beach DraftKings Picks | Player/Course Notes | Own Projections, Subscribe To the PME YouTube | Apple | Spotify | Insta | Twitter | E-Mail, Field: 156 PlayersCut: Top 60 and Ties after 54 HolesLineup Lock: Thursday, February 2Defending Champ: Tom Hoge. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Watson lost strokes putting in 11 of his final 14 events. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | He was in the top 10 in every one. Matthew Fitzpatrick, Viktor Hovland, and AT&T sponsored Jordan Spieth headline the field of the once historic tournament. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. cashed outright winners the past two weeks, most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. And last week, bargain pick Matt Kuchar ($7,900) posted a top-10 finish and two more picks were in the top 15. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Honda Classic. Houston Open: Jason Day. That means there is a lot to consider when making your 2023 Genesis Invitational fantasy golf picks. Thankfully at Golf Digest, we listen well. Hes a name to watch. Especially at this course, one he hasnt turned up at since 2011, likely for the same reasons as all the other big-time players - its impossibly hard, theres water everywhere and it makes the worlds best look like us. Each lineup consists of four starters and two bench players that can be rotated. Six first-round leaders have gone on to win at Pebble Beach since 2000, as Nick Taylor became the sixth in 2020. ), surges up leaderboard in Singapore, Here's the prize money payout for each golfer at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Padraig Harrington is squeezing out the last bit of game from a career with highs and a few regrets, You missed the boat on the Caddyshack "Seafood" yacht, which just sold to a Rhode Island professor, The good, the bad and the unknown about the PGA Tours new Designated Events model, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoing drastic change, PGA Tour's popularity ranking undergoes another drastic change. We've entered golf's '+1' era, Pat McAfee dished some juicy details about his recent golf trip with the Mannings to (maybe???) In order to score well at Waialae Country Club, players will need to be accurate off the tee and few do it better than Im. I worry that he will be exposed on these Bermudagrass greens, but the recent form and price is too appealing to pass up. We cooled off a bit during the Fall Swing, though we were able to still pick off one winner at the Houston Open, with Stephen Hennessey and Brandon Gdula each hitting on Tony Finau at 16-1. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere. 9. Although the distance is non-existent, the Brit has been the most accurate driver in the field over the past 24 rounds per Fantasy National. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. He was as good as Bryson, Rahm and Rory with the driver and experienced one of his best iron runs of his career. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. It looked like the rest was needed based on the downtrend. Of his four top-five finishes in 2020, one of them was at a major and two others were in the FedEx Cup Playoffs. See terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Mayo: Adrian Meronk (+105) over Cameron Davis (Bet365) Meronk is legit, just unknown. Will Gordon: Will hasn't played in a few weeks, since WD'ing from Pebble. I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is ThePME) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. The former American Express winner has a proven track record of delivering at water-intensive golf courses that place an emphasis on middle-iron play, with a runner-up and a 16th at TPC Twin Cities, a 22nd at TPC Sawgrass, a 24th at TPC Southwind, and a 27th here at PGA National. He's also missed the cut just once in his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour, consistently providing value for those who roster him in their PGA DFS lineups. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Head to SportsLine now to see his top daily Fantasy golf picks for the Sony Open 2023. PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. The likes of Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Will Zalatoris also are part of The American Express 2023 field that is among the best in the tournament's 63 years. Tiger Woods also will be teeing up Thursday at Riviera, alongside the likes of Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa. Gehman: Kevin Tway (+1000, DraftKings) Tways game is rounding into form right now. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. While he had been struggling to find form earlier in the year, the 27-year-old has proven his ball-striking upside by gaining 2.1 strokes on approach in a world-class field last week at Riviera. Routinely, they will point us to players who are undervaluedbased on their betting odds and fantasy salary prices. Best of luck this week! Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Mayo: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Maybe hes actually priced properly, but even with the weak field, I cant bet him at a shorter price than I laid with Homa last week. If they fall, were really looking at a high-ceiling week. Powers, Golf Digest: Harris English (+400, DraftKings) If this were 2021, theres a decent chance Harris English would be among the three or four favorites in this field. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Being an Alabama alum, he is no stranger to golf in the south either. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. McClure is also a predictive data engineer at SportsLine who uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every tournament 10,000 times, taking factors like statistical trends, past results and current form into account. Abraham Ancer played in the final group of the Masters in November, but he's still looking for his first PGA Tour victory. Gehman: Joseph Bramlett (50-1, DraftKings) Bramlett enters the week having made seven straight cuts and earning a T-13 in La Jolla and T-7 in Pebble Beach over his last two. He has played nine non-major PGA Tour/KFT events in the last year and has made the cut in one of those. And which overlooked players can help you win your league this week? Fantasy Insider Sleeper Picks: WM Phoenix Open Taylor Montgomery (+180 for a Top 20) Yeah, yeah, the. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. Poston currently ranks 20th in greens in regulation percentage (73.89%) and 29th in driving accuracy percentage (66.20%), so confidently lock him in your PGA DFS lineups and look for a big return this week at the 2023 Sony Open. Torrey Pines is spilt between Poa and Bentgrass between the courses. McClure's model included J.T. The 24-year-old's problems have been in majors and on . I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information. Tournament match-ups are often released by Tuesday at many top sportsbooks along with expert picks from PGA Tour staff and Golf Digest panel among other leading handicappers and analysts. Three of the sharpest data scientists in golf, Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; and Pat Mayo of Mayo Media. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. RELATED: Golf One-and-Done 2020-'21 Guide: 9 tips for winning these popular yearlong contests. They'll eat up a large portion of your PGA DFS budget, so making the right call on the value of PGA DFS picks will be critical when locking in your 2023 Sony Open PGA DFS strategy. The golf expert has been on a roll on his picks since last season. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes are the only two players to hit more than 100 drives over 300 yards at Pebble Golf Links during this event. Ryan Ballengee is founder and editor of Golf News Net. Three-Putt Avoidance Birdies or Better Gained Without further ado, let's dig into my outright picks for the Scottish Open. Sepp Straka: The Diet Coke King is kind of hard to predict, and he wasn't great in his two DP World Tour stops, but he was solid last week at Riviera. Meanwhile, the other two in the group haven't been able to find their footing multiple weeks in a row. Cole ranks top five in the field in scrambling and sand saves for the year and has done his best work over his short PGA career on shorter courses. RELATED: 15 signs you watch too much golf on TV. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. "He has a lot of ground to make up," Holliman said, "but he is the most well-rounded player in this field, so if anyone can do it, he can." Odds and lines subject to change. Ben is an up-and-coming rookie who has played great this year including getting into contention a couple times. He also has the third-highest salary on DraftKings, but his placement odds are more reasonableso I think hes a smart top-10 or top-20 bet. With the $20 million purse on the line . But as a caddie, I can see Davis playing well for one reason. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. In fact, the 24-year-old enters this week's event ranked inside the top-25 in strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.079), strokes gained: off-the-tee (.824) and driving accuracy percentage (66.96%). Powers: Chris Kirk The Florida Swing is when Chris Kirk eats and youd have to think this would be his best chance to finally break his win drought against a weak field. From Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: This ones not that bold, but Wolff is one of just six golfers over the final 100 rounds on the PGA Tour last season who ranked in the 75th percentile or better in strokes gained/off the tee, approach and putting, plus driving distance and birdie-or-better rate, according to data from FantasyNational.com. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Last season, he nailed the Tour Championship, saying Rory McIlroy was the only player capable of making up a six-stroke deficit to get past Scheffler. Farmers: Jason Day. For Ancer, he proved to be one of the most valuable golfers of 2020. 5. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Min Woo Lee (25-1, BetMGM) Our caddie makes great points on Min Woos form in the U.S. Itd be a great story to see him win, but its a tough ask at these odds. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Theres analysis you wont find anywhere else. Poston actually struck the ball better than Svensson at Riviera, and he now returns to a course that should suit his game. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. . To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. The 30-year-old. But, Pebble has been a happy spot for him over the years. His last eight starts on the DP World Tour have all yielded top-13 finishes with five top-fours during that run. Caddie: Min Woo Lee (25-1, BetMGM) As the fifth-highest odds this week, DK believes this guy has a chance to make some noise. McNealy has long been on the verge of a breakthrough, and tends to do his best work on shorter courses with small greens. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. In his 50 most recent rounds, hes gained strokes in 72 percent of them with his irons and 76 percent from his ball-striking. Harold Varner III (particularly for first-round leader bets). In addition, McClure's model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament. Please play responsibly. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Denny McCarthy (-122) over Min Woo Lee (FanDuel) My pick to win over my pick to fade plain and simply. Course history has been strong at Pebble Beach. Since 2020, for players with at least seven measured rounds on Poa, Jonas Blixt, Justin Suh, Zac Blair, Kevin Kisner, Brice Garnett, Matt Kuchar, and Maverick McNealy are all averaging +0.9 SG:PUTT per round on Poa greens. Monterey Peninsula has the largest greens in the rotation at 6,000 square feet, which is still slightly below TOUR average. He's been hanging around 30th place in his last four starts. section: | slug: 2023-sony-open-dfs-top-draftkings-fanduel-daily-fantasy-golf-picks-pga-lineups-advice-strategy | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Shane Lowry: Lowry is hopefully getting on the right track again after a T-14 finish at Riviera. Holliman says he has learned from his mistakes and is fully behind Rahm this week at Riviera. Dating back to the start of the 2021 season, hes the best putter on tour and Bermudagrass is his best surface. He missed the cut at the Honda Classic last year but finished T-8 in 2021 and won in 2020. Visit SportsLine now to get Jim Holliman's Fantasy golf picks, all from the Fantasy expert who has been on fire with his picks, and find out. Normally, great drivers have a glaring weakness somewhere tee to green that limits their upside, but Scheffler has been above average greenside (68th SG/around the green) and remained 81st in SG/approach despite an underwhelming swing season. NeSmiths more of a daily fantasy target on FanDuel than someone who is knocking at the door for a victory, but all of the underlying data is there to believe in a strong season. Visit SportsLine now to see the complete PGA DFS player pool for FanDuel and DraftKings, all from the expert who's made over $2 million in daily Fantasy sports, and find out. Caddie: Davis Riley (80-1, BetMGM) With so many options in terms of longshots, this is a shot in the dark. Who wins the 2023 Sony Open, and who are the top players to target for your Fantasy picks? Powers, Golf Digest: Ben Griffin (+100) over Cameron Davis (DraftKings) Sneaky bullish this week on Ben Griffin, a North Carolina man through and through who does well on Bermuda and is a machine on approach. With a few solid finishes early in 2021, he would improve his World Ranking enough to earn exemptions in World Golf Championship events, making him viable in both fantasy and One & Done formats all year long. Leaderboard Watch News FedExCup Schedule Players Stats Golfbet More PGA TOUR PGA TOUR Champions Korn Ferry Tour PGA TOUR Canada PGA TOUR Latinoamrica LPGA TOUR DP World Tour PGA TOUR University. In 34 starts since the beginning of the 2018-19 season, Scheffler has lost strokes off the tee to the field only one time. Coastal winds can be a contributing factor to this, as well. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. This tournament has almost 20 percent of the world top 50, which isn't bad, but it's going to feel like a letdown after the last two weeks. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Chris Kirk (30-1, DraftKings) Is this a number we want to bet Chris Kirk at, or think he can realistically win at? PGA DFS players entering tournaments, cash games, or 50-50s on FanDuel or DraftKings for the 2023 Sony Open will have plenty of tough choices to make. Rahm is the favorite, priced at 7-1 at Caesars Sportsbook, followed by McIlroy and Scheffler, both at 10-1. It . Golf DFS Fantasy Golf Picks 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks, Predictions, Rankings and Sleepers Pat Mayo makes his 2022 Wells Fargo Championship Picks while breaking down the field and rankings for the event and previewing the course and key stats. Short-iron specialists, regardless of distance, consistently perform the best on an annual basis at all three courses. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. You can see it at SportsLine. "There are better ways to spend your valuable cap money," the expert says. We've now cashed outright winners the past two weeks, so jump on board and scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Honda Classic. Last week at the Sentry Tournament of Champions, McClure included Jon Rahm among his top PGA DFS picks on FanDuel and DraftKings. Pat Mayo and Geoff Fienberg preview the course and run through the odds while making their 2023 Pebble Beach Picks. From Pat Mayo, Mayo Media Network, DraftKings and Fantasy National analyst: Based on the amount of times he contended in 2020, its rather shocking Scheffler didnt break through and win. When at his best, Tway drives it long so hell be able to club down and hope for more precision around PGA National this week. RELATED: Honda Classic picks 2023: Our DFS expert's case for playing this breakout star at PGA National. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. RELATED: The 9 bets you should make right now for 2021. Hes also not worth stashing for a bigger event down the road. On average, Ancer cost $8,279 on DraftKings and returned an average of 62.79 DraftKings points per start. And could Woods (120-1) be worth a flier? Now he enters a tournament where his iron play is the class of the field, ranking ninth in this field in SG/approach over his last 36 rounds. fantasy picks | GolfDigest.com Showing 1 - 10 of 9,065 PGA Tour Genesis Invitational, topped by Tiger Woods, has impressively loaded field. A sneaky underrated reason to fade him: I hear hes an elite Call of Duty fan, and with the new game coming out, theres reason to believe he hasnt been practicing quite as much recently. Gordons just as long as Mitchell (averages over 307 yards off the tee), so I think hes worth the flier. This is the first tournament of the year with a full complement of Poa Annua greens. May as well take another ride on the Kirk train, which will undoubtedly end like it always doeswith him ball-striking his way into contention and then failing to make anything inside of 10 feet on Sunday when he needs to. DraftKings operates pursuant to an Operating Agreement with iGaming Ontario. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. Top-10 results from the Genesis Invitational: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +220); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Lack: 1 for 1 (Patrick Cantlay +220); Powers: 1 for 1 (Collin Morikawa +210); Caddie: 0 for 1; Gehman: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 16 (up 18.6 units); Gehman: 5 for 16 (up 10.55 units); Lack: 3 for 7 (up 3.9 units); Mayo: 5 for 15 (up 3.1 units); Hennessey: 3 for 16 (down 0.45 units); Powers: 2 for 16 (down 7.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 16 (down 7.95 units), RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? From Mayo: Can Bubba fix his broken putter? NeSmith has 98 rounds on the PGA Tour, via FantasyNational, and in those, hes gained strokes tee to green in 50.7 percent of them, as well 62.7 percent of his rounds from approach play, the most important stat of them all. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. But his play on and around the greens is bound to regress to his typical level. Seriously. Poston has now finished inside the top-25 in eight of his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour. Golfers I'm Definitely Playing Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel) Rahm is the best player in the world until further notice. Gehman: Aaron Wise (22-1, DraftKings) Ive probably spent more money on Aaron Wise than anyone on the planet and not even I can get there this week. Gdula: Harris English (34-1, FanDuel) Englishs odds shortened up a lot after a T-12 at the Genesis, but almost all of that was from putting. The Sony Open in Hawaii Thats some great early-season value on a top-tier all-around golfer whose performance is grounded in elite data. Holliman also was behind Will Zalatoris (28-1) at the St. Jude and was on the money at the Wyndham Championship, with Tom Kim (35-1) among his selections. Out of those players listed, Wolffs odds have the best valueyou can find Wolff to win the PGA Championship at 50-1 odds. Holliman has been a writer and editor for nearly 25 years and has been playing and following the game closely for more than three decades. He just split ways with his caddie that he has pretty much had since getting his PGA Tour card, and any caddie knows that a player will usually ball out the first week with a new caddie. Im is the best player in the field and its not particularly close. Davis, on the other hand, has MCd three straight times and seems to be a bit lost with every club but the driver right now. THINK YOU'RE BETTER THAN OUR EXPERTS? Genesis: Justin Thomas. By Pat Mayo May 1, 2022, 3:41pm PDT Hes been on a heater with back-to-back top-three finishes before the MC in Phoenix.